Divide County Dominates Permitting Activity as Pooling Orders Vanish

With 607 signed orders in the trailing 90 days, Divide County leads the Williston Basin's regulatory pipeline — while a complete halt in pooling orders this window signals a potential inflection point for basin-wide development momentum.

Divide County: The Basin's Hottest Regulatory Address

Divide County logged 607 signed orders over the trailing 90 days, the highest cluster volume in this week's data and the top story candidate by a wide margin. Burke County follows at 421 signed orders, with Williams and Mountrail rounding out the active tier at 316 and 290, respectively. The concentration of regulatory throughput in Divide reflects sustained operator interest across multiple companies — Phoenix Operating, Continental Resources, KODA Resources, and Murex Petroleum all carry active positions in the county. For landmen, royalty owners, and midstream planners, Divide's order volume suggests the permitting infrastructure is primed for continued well authorization activity heading into summer.

sources: clu-divide, clu-burke, clu-williams, clu-mountrail, op-phoenix-operating-llc, op-continental-resources--inc, op-koda-resources-operating--llc, op-murex-petroleum-corp

Pooling Orders: A Full Stop

Zero pooling orders were signed during the May 30–June 6 window, against a trailing average of 99.3 per week — a 100% week-over-week decline. That is not a rounding error. Whether the gap reflects a scheduling anomaly ahead of the June 24–25 hearing dates or something more structural is unclear from available data, but the divergence from baseline is stark. The basin's total pending docket sits at 243 cases, none of which cleared this window. Operators and mineral rights holders with cases in queue should monitor the upcoming hearings closely.

sources: trd-pooling, meta, op-phoenix-operating-llc, op-continental-resources--inc

Operator Watch: Phoenix Leads on Volume, Oasis on Conviction

Phoenix Operating LLC carries the highest ramp score at 181.9, driven by 39 pending cases and 137 wells already authorized across five counties — the broadest geographic footprint in this week's operator set. However, Phoenix's average case probability of 0.558 and win rate of 0.68 suggest meaningful regulatory uncertainty embedded in that pipeline. Contrast that with Oasis Petroleum North America, whose 13 pending cases are all classified as high-probability, yielding an average probability of 0.973 — the highest conviction score in the dataset. Oasis's 81.1 ramp score and 0.81 win rate reflect a smaller but exceptionally clean docket. KODA Resources similarly shows all 11 of its pending cases as high-probability, with an average probability of 0.933 and a win rate of 0.88, despite a more modest 13 wells authorized to date. Continental Resources holds the largest pending case count at 55, with 15 high-probability cases and a leading win rate of 0.85, but its average probability of 0.743 indicates a mixed-confidence portfolio across Divide, Dunn, McKenzie, and Williams counties.

sources: op-phoenix-operating-llc, op-oasis-petroleum-north-america-llc, op-koda-resources-operating--llc, op-continental-resources--inc

Hearings Calendar: June 24–25 Will Be Consequential

With zero orders signed this window and 243 cases pending across the basin, the June 24 and June 25 hearing dates carry unusual weight. Phoenix Operating, Oasis Petroleum, Devon Energy Williston, and Murex Petroleum are all calendared for June 24. Continental Resources and KODA Resources appear on June 25. Devon Energy Williston brings a tight docket of 6 pending cases and only 2 classified as high-probability, but its 0.88 win rate — tied with KODA for the highest in the operator set — suggests the company is selective about what it brings forward. Murex Petroleum's single pending case carries an average probability of just 0.364, making it the most speculative position on the near-term docket.

sources: op-phoenix-operating-llc, op-oasis-petroleum-north-america-llc, op-devon-energy-williston--llc, op-murex-petroleum-corp, op-continental-resources--inc, op-koda-resources-operating--llc, meta