as of 2026-08-27

Marathon Oil Company LLC — Dunn County Bakken consolidator loading the regulatory runway ahead of a drilling surge

1,028
Producing now
1,327
Total wells
7
Pending cases
5
Wells authorized
85%
Win rate
2026-09-23
Next hearing
Producing now1,028 / 1,327
Active (status A/AC)940 / 1,327
Plugged / abandoned101 / 1,327

Marathon Oil Company LLC is a large-scale Bakken operator with 1,327 total wells and 1,028 currently producing, concentrated entirely in Dunn County for its near-term regulatory activity. As of late August 2026, the company carries 7 pending cases — all scheduled for the September 23, 2026 hearing — spanning spacing-unit and pooling applications across the Bailey-Bakken and Lake Ilo-Bakken pools, each at a 99.9% probability of progression. Its historical win rate sits at 85%, and a momentum ramp score of 12.0 signals accelerating activity. The immediate authorized well count from pending cases is modest at 5, but the pattern of large 2,560-acre unit applications layered with companion pooling filings points to a deliberate land-locking strategy ahead of denser infill drilling.

What stands out

Docket & Locations

All 7 pending cases are set for a single hearing date — September 23, 2026 — before the North Dakota Industrial Commission, exclusively in Dunn County. The docket splits into 4 spacing-unit applications (cases 33168, 33169, 33170, 33184) and 3 pooling applications (cases 33171, 33172, 33173), all targeting the Bailey-Bakken Pool, with several also covering the Lake Ilo-Bakken Pool. Each spacing-unit case proposes a 2,560-acre unit. The geographic footprint is tight: multiple cases share overlapping section clusters within T.145N., R.93W., indicating a coordinated block-assembly effort rather than scattered opportunistic filings. Two additional spacing-unit cases (32210, 32211) heard on August 26, 2026 have already progressed to order — one authorizing 6 wells across Wolf Bay-Bakken and Werner-Bakken pools, the other authorizing 1 well in the Moccasin Creek-Bakken pool.

sources: mom-next_hearing, mom-counties, hr-33168, hr-33169, hr-33170, hr-33184, hr-33171, hr-33172, hr-33173, case-33168, case-33169, case-33170, case-33184, case-33171, case-33172, case-33173

Portfolio

Marathon carries 1,327 total wells in North Dakota, of which 940 are classified active and 1,028 are currently producing. The 101 plugged wells reflect an ongoing abandonment program. Work types on record span the full development cycle: drilling rigs, frac crews, frac sand, new-pad dirt and construction, and water logistics and trucking — indicating Marathon self-manages or actively contracts across every major service category rather than relying on a single integrated provider.

sources: port-total, port-active, port-producing_now, port-plugged

Recent Orders & Cases

The September 23, 2026 docket carries 7 pending cases, all rated high-relevance with a 99.9% individual probability of progression. Marathon's historical win rate on cases of this type is 85%. The 5 wells authorized across the pending spacing-unit cases are spread across four separate 2,560-acre units — a low per-unit authorization count consistent with initial unit establishment rather than full-density development. Prior-well counts on the same sections range from 8 (case 33184) to 34 (cases 33170 and 33173), confirming these units sit inside Marathon's established operating core.

sources: mom-pending, mom-high_prob, mom-win_rate, mom-avg_prob, mom-wells_auth, hr-33184, hr-33170, hr-33169, hr-33168, hr-33171, hr-33172, hr-33173

Convergence

The simultaneous filing of paired spacing-unit and pooling cases on identical section clusters (e.g., Sections 4-5-8-9 covered by both case 33168 and case 33171; Sections 3-4-9-10 covered by both case 33170 and case 33173) is the clearest signal of intent: Marathon is securing both the unit geometry and the mineral-interest compulsion orders in a single hearing cycle. Combined with the ramp score of 12.0 and 5 wells already authorized from the pending docket, the near-term service demand signal is for pad construction and water logistics first, with frac crews and drilling rigs to follow as infill authorizations accumulate.

sources: mom-ramp, mom-wells_auth, hr-33168, hr-33171, hr-33170, hr-33173, hr-33169, hr-33172, hr-33184

Hearing locations

CaseCountyPoolPrecisionMap
33171Dunn CountyBailey-Bakken Poollegal📍 map
33172Dunn CountyBailey-Bakken Pool, Lake Ilo-Bakken Poollegal📍 map
33173Dunn CountyBailey-Bakken Pool, Lake Ilo-Bakken Poollegal📍 map
33184Dunn CountyBailey-Bakken Poollegal📍 map
33170Dunn CountyBailey-Bakken Pool, Lake Ilo-Bakken Poollegal📍 map
33169Dunn CountyBailey-Bakken Pool, Lake Ilo-Bakken Poollegal📍 map
33168Dunn CountyBailey-Bakken Poollegal📍 map